Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000905 0.001029 0.001159 0.001307 0.001469 0.001641 0.001837
2025-02-23 0.000702 0.000873 0.001065 0.001296 0.001564 0.001864 0.002224
2025-03-02 0.000607 0.000801 0.001028 0.001313 0.001655 0.002050 0.002538
2025-03-09 0.000507 0.000708 0.000955 0.001275 0.001672 0.002145 0.002743
2025-03-16 0.000430 0.000634 0.000893 0.001239 0.001683 0.002223 0.002923
2025-03-23 0.000380 0.000588 0.000861 0.001237 0.001730 0.002343 0.003153
2025-03-30 0.000339 0.000549 0.000834 0.001236 0.001776 0.002461 0.003380
2025-04-06 0.000301 0.000509 0.000801 0.001224 0.001804 0.002554 0.003575
2025-04-13 0.000264 0.000468 0.000763 0.001201 0.001815 0.002622 0.003739
2025-04-20 0.000246 0.000453 0.000761 0.001227 0.001892 0.002778 0.004018
2025-04-27 0.000228 0.000436 0.000753 0.001244 0.001955 0.002915 0.004275
2025-05-04 0.000204 0.000407 0.000726 0.001230 0.001973 0.002992 0.004451
2025-05-11 0.000180 0.000377 0.000694 0.001207 0.001979 0.003052 0.004608
2025-05-18 0.000166 0.000362 0.000686 0.001221 0.002036 0.003185 0.004868
2025-05-25 0.000153 0.000346 0.000675 0.001229 0.002086 0.003308 0.005115
2025-06-01 0.000133 0.000317 0.000640 0.001195 0.002071 0.003336 0.005231
2025-06-08 0.000115 0.000290 0.000605 0.001161 0.002053 0.003359 0.005336
2025-06-15 0.000105 0.000275 0.000591 0.001159 0.002083 0.003452 0.005543
2025-06-22 0.000095 0.000262 0.000578 0.001158 0.002115 0.003547 0.005755
2025-06-29 0.000086 0.000246 0.000560 0.001147 0.002129 0.003617 0.005929
2025-07-06 0.000076 0.000228 0.000537 0.001125 0.002126 0.003659 0.006064
2025-07-13 0.000072 0.000225 0.000540 0.001150 0.002198 0.003816 0.006371
2025-07-20 0.000067 0.000219 0.000538 0.001166 0.002256 0.003952 0.006648